Humanitarian aid funding exceeds $25B by end of 2026

Market overview

The record-high conflict displacements in 2025 will trigger a global response, with donor countries increasing humanitarian aid budgets by at least 15% in 2026. The UN and NGOs will face pressure to expand operations, leading to total aid exceeding $25 billion.

macro prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

75%

Source: user-generated

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