Trump-Putin call results in Ukraine ceasefire announcement by Aug 2026

Given Trump's stated urgency to end the Ukraine war and Putin's recent reaffirmation of interest in peaceful solutions, a follow-up Trump-Putin call after the summit is highly likely to yield a formal ceasefire announcement. Both sides have incentives to reduce tensions before the U.S. election.

geopolitics · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)

68%

Closes

2026-08-15

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