user-generated· event
Russia confirms plague death by Dec 31 2026
Market overview
Russian authorities officially attribute the lab worker's death to plague by year-end.
event prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 65%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Russian government or Rospotrebnadzor publicly states the worker died of plague.
Source: user-generated
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