GitHub credential exposure incidents involving CISA contractors rise 20% in H2 2026
Resolves: At least two documented incidents of exposed credentials via GitHub involving CISA contractors occur between July 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026.
user-generated· legal
GitHub credential exposure incidents involving CISA contractors rise…
Market overview
Following the May 2026 incident, similar credential exposure events involving CISA contractors will increase by 20% in the second half of 2026 compared to the first half, as oversight remains inconsistent.
legal prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 65%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
At least two documented incidents of exposed credentials via GitHub involving CISA contractors occur between July 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026.
Source: user-generated
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