Deep-sea mollusc extinction rate exceeds 60% by 2027
Resolves: IUCN Red List or peer-reviewed scientific studies confirm extinction of more than 60% of deep-sea vent mollusc species by December 31, 2027.
user-generated· legal
Deep-sea mollusc extinction rate exceeds 60% by 2027
Market overview
The IUCN Red List update indicates two-thirds of deep-sea vent mollusc species are at risk due to deep-sea mining. Given ongoing mining activities and lack of regulation, extinction rates are expected to accelerate. By 2027, over 60% of these species will have gone extinct.
legal prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 72%
- Closes
- 2027-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
IUCN Red List or peer-reviewed scientific studies confirm extinction of more than 60% of deep-sea vent mollusc species by December 31, 2027.
Source: user-generated
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