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Will a full ceasefire between Hezbollah and Israel be formally announced by July 31, 2027?

Resolves: A formal, publicly announced ceasefire agreement between Hezbollah and Israel is confirmed by official statements from both parties or a recognized international mediator (e.g., UN, US State Department).

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user-generated· World

Will a full ceasefire between Hezbollah and Israel be formally announ…

Market overview

The headline suggests a Lebanese official conveyed Hezbollah's readiness for a full ceasefire to the U.S. This question assesses whether this readiness translates into a formal agreement. A formal announcement from official channels of both parties or a recognized mediator would resolve this.

World prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
25%
Closes
2029-08-30

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How this resolves

A formal, publicly announced ceasefire agreement between Hezbollah and Israel is confirmed by official statements from both parties or a recognized international mediator (e.g., UN, US State Department).

Source: user-generated

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