Qatar-mediated Iran-US deal collapses by 2026-09-30

Qatar’s mediation efforts to defuse tensions and secure a lasting Iran-US agreement will fail by September 30, 2026, leading to renewed hostilities or a breakdown in diplomatic channels. This would increase the risk of further military escalation in the Strait of Hormuz.

geopolitics · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)

55%

Closes

2026-09-30

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