Will the Strait of Hormuz be officially declared fully open to all commercial shipping without significant restrictions by August 31, 2028?
Resolves: YES if a major international shipping authority (e.g., IMO, Lloyd's List) or a relevant government (e.g., Oman, UAE) officially declares the Strait of Hormuz fully open to all commercial shipping without significant new restrictions by August 31, 2024. NO otherwise.
Will the Strait of Hormuz be officially declared fully open to all co…
Market overview
The headline mentions 'Hormuz reopening hopes,' indicating current restrictions or threats. A full reopening would alleviate supply concerns and likely impact oil prices further.
World prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 45%
- Closes
- 2030-08-23
About this prediction
How this resolves
YES if a major international shipping authority (e.g., IMO, Lloyd's List) or a relevant government (e.g., Oman, UAE) officially declares the Strait of Hormuz fully open to all commercial shipping without significant new restrictions by August 31, 2024. NO otherwise.
Source: user-generated
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