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Will the total number of confirmed Ebola cases in the Democratic Republic of Congo exceed 5,000 for the current outbreak by December 31, 2028?

Resolves: YES if the cumulative number of confirmed Ebola cases reported by the DRC Ministry of Health or WHO for the current outbreak surpasses 5,000 by December 31, 2024. NO otherwise.

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user-generated· World

Will the total number of confirmed Ebola cases in the Democratic Repu…

Market overview

Officials are bracing for a long outbreak, suggesting expectations of continued transmission. The reopening of the airport could complicate containment efforts, potentially leading to a higher case count.

World prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
55%
Closes
2030-08-31

About this prediction

How this resolves

YES if the cumulative number of confirmed Ebola cases reported by the DRC Ministry of Health or WHO for the current outbreak surpasses 5,000 by December 31, 2024. NO otherwise.

Source: user-generated

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