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Iran publicly pledges to stop attacking ships in Hormuz by 2026-08-15

Iran will issue a formal statement declaring the Strait of Hormuz open and commit to halting attacks on commercial ships before mid-August 2026. This follows US demands during Oman negotiations and Iran's reported acknowledgment of previous mistakes.

geopolitics · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)
70%
Closes
2026-08-15

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