CISA workforce reductions continue through 2027-Q1
Resolves: CISA's total workforce (full-time equivalents) remains at least 5% below its pre-2025 level as of 2027-03-31, based on official DHS or CISA reports or credible third-party estimates.
user-generated· macro
CISA workforce reductions continue through 2027-Q1
Market overview
CISA has faced cuts affecting about a third of its workforce since early 2025. Given the agency's ongoing political challenges and budget pressures, it is likely that workforce reductions or furloughs will persist through at least the first quarter of 2027.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 70%
- Closes
- 2027-03-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
CISA's total workforce (full-time equivalents) remains at least 5% below its pre-2025 level as of 2027-03-31, based on official DHS or CISA reports or credible third-party estimates.
Source: user-generated
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