Will the United Nations establish a new permanent agency or treaty specifically focused on mitigating 'existential risks' from advanced AI by 2030-12-31?
Resolves: YES if the United Nations officially establishes a new permanent agency, council, or a ratified international treaty specifically mandated to address and mitigate 'existential risks' from advanced artificial intelligence by 2030-12-31. NO otherwise.
Will the United Nations establish a new permanent agency or treaty sp…
Market overview
The public acknowledgment of existential risks by a prominent AI developer like Anthropic could increase international pressure for global governance. A UN-backed agency or treaty would signify a coordinated international effort to address these high-level concerns.
World prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 25%
- Closes
- 2030-12-31
About this prediction
How this resolves
YES if the United Nations officially establishes a new permanent agency, council, or a ratified international treaty specifically mandated to address and mitigate 'existential risks' from advanced artificial intelligence by 2030-12-31. NO otherwise.
Source: user-generated
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