user-generated· environment
Desert rain frog extinction by 2030
The desert rain frog's habitat continues to degrade due to diamond mining expansion in southern Africa. Without urgent protections, the species will likely become extinct in the wild by 2030.
environment · Prediction Market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 60%
- Closes
- 2030-12-31
More environment markets
- Deep-sea mining projects will lead to extinction of 5+ vent mollusc species by 2030 — 72% Yes
- Desert rain frog population will decline by 40% within five years of diamond mining expansion — 80% Yes
- Numbat populations will exceed 10,000 individuals by 2028 due to conservation success — 68% Yes
- Seagrass loss in English Channel exceeds 20% by September 2026 — 75% Yes
- Seagrass coverage in the English Channel drops by 20% by August 2026 — 70% Yes
- Seagrass meadows in English Channel lose 20% coverage by November 2026 — 68% Yes
- Desert rain frog populations decline by 40% by 2028 — 85% Yes
- Deep-sea vent molluscs extinct by 2029 due to mining — 75% Yes
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