Desert rain frog populations decline by 40% by 2028

The desert rain frog's unique adaptations are insufficient against diamond mining expansion in southern Africa. Habitat loss from mining will reduce its population by 40% by 2028, driven by increased demand for rare earth minerals and gemstones.

environment · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)

85%

Closes

2028-06-30

More environment markets

• Deep-sea mining projects will lead to extinction of 5+ vent mollusc species by 2030 — 72% Yes
• Desert rain frog population will decline by 40% within five years of diamond mining expansion — 80% Yes
• Numbat populations will exceed 10,000 individuals by 2028 due to conservation success — 68% Yes
• Seagrass loss in English Channel exceeds 20% by September 2026 — 75% Yes
• Seagrass coverage in the English Channel drops by 20% by August 2026 — 70% Yes
• Seagrass meadows in English Channel lose 20% coverage by November 2026 — 68% Yes
• Deep-sea vent molluscs extinct by 2029 due to mining — 75% Yes
• Desert rain frog extinct by 2027 due to diamond mining — 70% Yes

Browse all environment markets →