Deep-sea mollusc extinctions exceed 50 by 2029

Deep-sea mining operations will drive at least 50 mollusc species from hydrothermal vents to extinction by 2029. Current IUCN assessments indicate high vulnerability, and mining activities are expected to accelerate in coming years.

environment · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)

55%

Closes

2029-12-31

More environment markets

• Deep-sea mining projects will lead to extinction of 5+ vent mollusc species by 2030 — 72% Yes
• Desert rain frog population will decline by 40% within five years of diamond mining expansion — 80% Yes
• Numbat populations will exceed 10,000 individuals by 2028 due to conservation success — 68% Yes
• Seagrass loss in English Channel exceeds 20% by September 2026 — 75% Yes
• Seagrass coverage in the English Channel drops by 20% by August 2026 — 70% Yes
• Seagrass meadows in English Channel lose 20% coverage by November 2026 — 68% Yes
• Desert rain frog populations decline by 40% by 2028 — 85% Yes
• Deep-sea vent molluscs extinct by 2029 due to mining — 75% Yes

Browse all environment markets →