Will the Ross Fire exceed 100,000 acres burned before being declared 100% contained?
Resolves: YES if official fire incident reports (e.g., from InciWeb or local fire authorities) show the total acreage burned by the Ross Fire surpasses 100,000 acres at any point before it is declared 100% contained. NO otherwise.
Will the Ross Fire exceed 100,000 acres burned before being declared…
Market overview
The fire has already burned 85,000 acres, indicating it's a large and active incident. Depending on weather conditions and terrain, it's plausible it could grow by another 15,000 acres before full containment is achieved.
World prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 55%
- Closes
- 2026-11-28
About this prediction
How this resolves
YES if official fire incident reports (e.g., from InciWeb or local fire authorities) show the total acreage burned by the Ross Fire surpasses 100,000 acres at any point before it is declared 100% contained. NO otherwise.
Source: user-generated
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