user-generated· macro
Retail sales in entertainment categories rise 12% YoY in Q4 2026
Market overview
Q4 2026 retail sales in entertainment-related categories (movies, concerts, merchandise) are expected to increase by at least 12% compared to Q4 2025. This reflects the combined impact of 'Moana 2' and the Rolling Stones' tour on consumer spending.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 70%
- Closes
- 2027-01-15
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
U.S. Census Bureau or comparable data shows retail sales in entertainment categories up at least 12% YoY in Q4 2026.
Source: user-generated
More macro markets
- Labour loses 10% of its UK polling lead to Greens by 2027 — 68% Yes
- S&P 500 surpasses 6,500 by December 2027 — 70% Yes
- Highway Trust Fund revenue loss triggers 2027 infrastructure cuts — 60% Yes
- Australian coal exports to China fall 15% by Q4 2026 due to supply disruptions — 60% Yes
- Canadian dollar weakens against USD by 10% — 75% Yes
- Iran exports LPG volume rises 15% by Q4 2026 — 70% Yes
- US dollar strengthens against yuan by 5% within 6 months — 70% Yes
- NY budget passes with pension reform by June 30 — 70% Yes
No one's made a Conviction call on this yet. Be the first to call it →
Loading…