Turkey and U.S. sign bilateral defense pact excluding NATO framework

Turkey’s alignment with Trump’s NATO critiques and U.S. coziness with Erdoğan will lead to a bilateral defense agreement between Turkey and the U.S. by October 2026. The pact will explicitly exclude NATO mutual defense commitments.

geopolitics · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)

65%

Closes

2026-10-31

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