Will Ukraine successfully shoot down over 75% of incoming Russian missiles in a single, large-scale attack by December 31, 2027?
Resolves: Official Ukrainian military or government reports, corroborated by independent military analysts (e.g., ISW, open-source intelligence), confirm that more than 75% of missiles launched in a single, large-scale Russian attack were intercepted.
Will Ukraine successfully shoot down over 75% of incoming Russian mis…
Market overview
Ukraine's air defense capabilities have improved, but completely neutralizing a 'massive' strike remains challenging. This question gauges the ongoing effectiveness of their defense systems.
World prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 30%
- Closes
- 2029-08-31
About this prediction
How this resolves
Official Ukrainian military or government reports, corroborated by independent military analysts (e.g., ISW, open-source intelligence), confirm that more than 75% of missiles launched in a single, large-scale Russian attack were intercepted.
Source: user-generated
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