Fed cuts interest rates by November 2026, boosting momentum stocks
Resolves: The Federal Reserve's target federal funds rate is lower on 2026-11-30 compared to the rate set at the July 2026 meeting.
user-generated· macro
Fed cuts interest rates by November 2026, boosting momentum stocks
Market overview
Momentum stocks have struggled under hawkish Fed signals. If inflation cools and economic growth slows, the Fed will pivot to rate cuts. By November 30, 2026, the Federal Reserve will reduce interest rates, leading to a rebound in momentum stocks.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 60%
- Closes
- 2026-11-30
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
The Federal Reserve's target federal funds rate is lower on 2026-11-30 compared to the rate set at the July 2026 meeting.
Source: user-generated
More macro markets
- Global corporate bond issuance drops 15% in Q1 2027 — 65% Yes
- RBI cuts repo rate by 50bps before December 2026 — 60% Yes
- CAR gold exports fall by year-end — 60% Yes
- Number of countries with over 1M displaced people rises in 2026 — 65% Yes
- S&P 500 rises 0.75% if April jobs report is 85,000 to 125,000 — 25% Yes
- UK retail sales growth to slow to 1.5% in Q4 2026 — 65% Yes
- UK GDP per capita growth surpasses 0.5% in 2028 — 68% Yes
- Major EU country implements Guterres' agenda alignment in national policy by Q3 2027 — 40% Yes
No one's made a Conviction call on this yet. Be the first to call it →
Loading…