user-generated· geopolitics
New IRA will claim responsibility for another attack by 2027
The New IRA, which claimed responsibility for Lyra McKee's killing, has a history of dissident republican activity. Given their past actions, it is likely they will claim responsibility for another attack within the next year. The resolution criteria will be met if a credible news source reports a new claim of responsibility by the New IRA.
geopolitics · Prediction Market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 60%
- Closes
- 2027-07-06
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