Venezuela secures World Bank loan within 12 months

Market overview

The World Bank team's visit to Venezuela is a precursor to formal negotiations for financial assistance. Given Venezuela's recent economic stabilization efforts, a loan agreement is likely to be finalized within a year.

macro prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

70%

Source: user-generated

More macro markets

• China April export growth exceeds 15% in May 2026 — 70% Yes
• Global conflict displacements will exceed 40m in 2026 — 65% Yes
• Singapore's 2027 budget will increase public sector wages — 75% Yes
• MSCI Emerging Markets Index surpasses 1200 by year-end — 70% Yes
• India's pesticide deaths increase by 15% in 2026 — 70% Yes
• Top 20 indebted countries increase education spending share by 2028 — 65% Yes
• SHEFE cancellation leads to 20% rise in girls' school dropout rates in target regions — 75% Yes
• China surpasses US in AI investment by 2028 — 60% Yes

Browse all macro markets →