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Arabica coffee prices to exceed $2.50/lb by end of 2026

Resolves: Arabica coffee futures (ICE Futures US) close at or above $2.50 per pound on any trading day between 2026-12-01 and 2026-12-31.

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user-generated· commodities

Arabica coffee prices to exceed $2.50/lb by end of 2026

Market overview

Arabica coffee futures have surged due to a U.S.-Colombia tariff dispute disrupting supply chains. Tariffs on Colombian coffee imports are expected to remain in place through Q4 2026, sustaining upward price pressure.

commodities prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
72%
Closes
2026-12-31

About this prediction

Resolution criteria

Arabica coffee futures (ICE Futures US) close at or above $2.50 per pound on any trading day between 2026-12-01 and 2026-12-31.

Source: user-generated

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