Turkey blocks Sweden's NATO accession until at least mid-2027

Turkey's President Erdogan has historically linked Sweden's NATO accession to its stance on Kurdish groups and extradition requests. Given the timing of Trump's visit and Erdogan's leverage at the summit, Sweden's NATO accession will not be ratified by Turkey before January 31, 2027.

geopolitics · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)

70%

Closes

2027-01-31

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