Biden approval below 45% on election day
Resolves: Gallup presidential approval rating shows Biden below 45% on election day
user-generated· zeitgeist
Biden approval below 45% on election day
Market overview
President Biden's approval rating will be under 45% in Gallup poll on 2026 election day
zeitgeist prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 65%
- Closes
- 2026-11-08
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Gallup presidential approval rating shows Biden below 45% on election day
Source: user-generated
More zeitgeist markets
- Mainstream media coverage of UFO files exceeds 2028 levels — 85% Yes
- Biden-Trump cartoons exceed 50% of political satire by 2026 midterms — 70% Yes
- MI5's public trust rating drops below 50% by year-end 2026 — 67% Yes
- Biden approval rating drops 10+ points by 2026-09-01 — 80% Yes
- Macron’s approval rating in Africa drops by 5% within six months — 60% Yes
- WallStreetBets retail investor engagement declines within 6 months — 60% Yes
- Social media mentions of 'Ann Widdecombe' will decline by over 40% by 2026-12-31 — 85% Yes
- Conspiracy theories surge during Robinson trial — 68% Yes
No one's made a Conviction call on this yet. Be the first to call it →
Loading…