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MI5's public trust rating drops below 50% by year-end 2026

Resolves: Any reputable UK public trust poll (e.g., YouGov, Ipsos) shows MI5's trust rating below 50% by this date.

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user-generated· zeitgeist

MI5's public trust rating drops below 50% by year-end 2026

Market overview

The revelations about Agent X and the subsequent watchdog report are likely to erode public trust in MI5. Given the severity of the findings and media coverage, a measured drop in trust is probable.

zeitgeist prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
67%
Closes
2026-12-31

About this prediction

Resolution criteria

Any reputable UK public trust poll (e.g., YouGov, Ipsos) shows MI5's trust rating below 50% by this date.

Source: user-generated

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