Will the International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO) issue new global recommendations or standards for flight path optimization aimed at climate change mitigation by December 31, 2027?
Resolves: YES if ICAO formally publishes new or updated recommendations, standards, or guidance specifically addressing flight path optimization as a measure for climate change mitigation (e.g., contrail avoidance, fuel efficiency). NO otherwise.
Will the International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO) issue new g…
Market overview
While the UK and Google are exploring this, widespread adoption would likely require international coordination. ICAO setting new recommendations would be a significant step towards global implementation.
World prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 40%
- Closes
- 2027-12-31
About this prediction
How this resolves
YES if ICAO formally publishes new or updated recommendations, standards, or guidance specifically addressing flight path optimization as a measure for climate change mitigation (e.g., contrail avoidance, fuel efficiency). NO otherwise.
Source: user-generated
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