Skip to main content

Will Iran publicly announce a halt or reduction in its uranium enrichment activities above 3.67% purity by June 30, 2028?

Resolves: YES if Iran's Atomic Energy Organization or a similar official body publicly announces a halt or reduction in uranium enrichment above 3.67% purity by June 30, 2025. NO otherwise.

Make a pick
user-generated· World

Will Iran publicly announce a halt or reduction in its uranium enrich…

Market overview

If negotiations are truly 'constructive,' it might lead to de-escalation from Iran's side. This question tests if Iran will make a verifiable move to reduce its nuclear program's advanced aspects within a year.

World prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
20%
Closes
2030-08-22

About this prediction

How this resolves

YES if Iran's Atomic Energy Organization or a similar official body publicly announces a halt or reduction in uranium enrichment above 3.67% purity by June 30, 2025. NO otherwise.

Source: user-generated

More World markets

Browse all World markets →

No one's made a Conviction call on this yet. Be the first to call it →
Loading…