S&P 500 rises 5% within 30 days of Fed task force report
Resolves: Closing price of S&P 500 on the 30th trading day after the Fed task force report publication (or the last trading day of that month if no trading occurs) is at least 5% higher than the closing price on the report publication date.
S&P 500 rises 5% within 30 days of Fed task force report
Market overview
Within 30 days of the Fed task force report publication, the S&P 500 will increase by at least 5% as investors price in the likelihood of more accommodative or predictable Fed policy from the recommendations. The inclusion of prominent tech and retail leaders signals market-friendly reforms.
price prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 65%
- Closes
- 2027-02-08
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Closing price of S&P 500 on the 30th trading day after the Fed task force report publication (or the last trading day of that month if no trading occurs) is at least 5% higher than the closing price on the report publication date.
Source: user-generated
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