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user-generated· macro

10-year Treasury yield drops below 4% by year-end

Market overview

The 10-year Treasury yield will fall below 4% by December 31, 2026.

macro prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
70%
Closes
2026-12-31

About this prediction

Resolution criteria

10-year Treasury yield closes below 4% on December 31, 2026.

Source: user-generated

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