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Deep-sea mining will push deep-sea mollusc extinctions past 75%

Resolves: IUCN Red List confirms extinction of more than 75% of the 150+ hydrothermal vent mollusc species currently classified as Critically Endangered or Endangered.

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Deep-sea mining will push deep-sea mollusc extinctions past 75%

Market overview

By 2027, deep-sea mining operations will contribute to the extinction of over 75% of hydrothermal vent mollusc species currently listed as threatened. The pace of extinction will outstrip conservation efforts due to irreversible habitat destruction.

legal prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
78%
Closes
2027-12-31

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Resolution criteria

IUCN Red List confirms extinction of more than 75% of the 150+ hydrothermal vent mollusc species currently classified as Critically Endangered or Endangered.

Source: user-generated

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