Will a major international energy company (e.g., Enel, Siemens Energy, GE Vernova) announce a definitive agreement to invest in Venezuela's power sector by June 30, 2028?
Resolves: YES if any of the listed companies, or another company with a market capitalization exceeding $10 billion primarily in the energy sector, publicly announces a binding agreement (e.g., MOU, joint venture, acquisition) to invest in Venezuelan power generation, transmission, or distribution by June 30, 2025. NO otherwise.
Will a major international energy company (e.g., Enel, Siemens Energy…
Market overview
While Venezuela may open its power sector, attracting major international players is another hurdle, given the country's political and economic instability. This question gauges the market's confidence in actual foreign capital inflow. The high risk associated with Venezuela makes this a low probability event in the short term.
World prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 20%
- Closes
- 2030-08-31
About this prediction
How this resolves
YES if any of the listed companies, or another company with a market capitalization exceeding $10 billion primarily in the energy sector, publicly announces a binding agreement (e.g., MOU, joint venture, acquisition) to invest in Venezuelan power generation, transmission, or distribution by June 30, 2025. NO otherwise.
Source: user-generated
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