Will the friend who is charging for her birthday party receive at least 5 'no' RSVPs from her core friend group?
Resolves: YES if the birthday friend receives 5 or more explicit 'no' RSVPs from individuals generally considered part of her core friend group (e.g., those she regularly socializes with, excluding distant acquaintances). NO if fewer than 5 such 'no' RSVPs are received.
Will the friend who is charging for her birthday party receive at lea…
Market overview
The headline implies a social dilemma regarding charging for a birthday party. It's plausible that some close friends might decline due to the cost or principle, impacting attendance from her immediate circle. This question focuses on the direct social consequence for the host.
World prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 60%
- Closes
- 2026-11-29
About this prediction
How this resolves
YES if the birthday friend receives 5 or more explicit 'no' RSVPs from individuals generally considered part of her core friend group (e.g., those she regularly socializes with, excluding distant acquaintances). NO if fewer than 5 such 'no' RSVPs are received.
Source: user-generated
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