Nigeria enacts nationwide flood mitigation policy by year-end
Resolves: Nigeria’s federal government enacts or formally ratifies a nationwide flood mitigation policy or legislation by 2026-12-31.
user-generated· regulatory
Nigeria enacts nationwide flood mitigation policy by year-end
Market overview
Nigeria has experienced severe flooding, with Lagos and other coastal regions particularly affected. Given the recurring crisis, the federal government is expected to introduce or formalize a nationwide flood mitigation policy before December 2026.
regulatory prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 65%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Nigeria’s federal government enacts or formally ratifies a nationwide flood mitigation policy or legislation by 2026-12-31.
Source: user-generated
More regulatory markets
- EU approves 50 billion euro defense fund by March 2027 — 70% Yes
- CISA publishes updated incident playbook by end of 2026 — 85% Yes
- UK Parliament to pass intelligence oversight bill by 2027-Q2 — 72% Yes
- EU Parliament votes to freeze FIFA funding by Dec 2026 — 55% Yes
- Anthropic's next-gen model launch delayed by regulatory scrutiny within 6 months — 70% Yes
- U.S. export controls on AI models remain unchanged through December 2026 — 75% Yes
- UN AI Transparency Initiative gains adoption by top 5 tech firms by Nov 2026 — 72% Yes
- Number of failed rule votes in 2026 will exceed 10 — 75% Yes
No one's made a Conviction call on this yet. Be the first to call it →
Loading…