Number of failed rule votes in 2026 will exceed 10
Resolves: The total number of failed House rule votes in 2026 reaches or exceeds 11 (counting all failures through 2026-12-31).
user-generated· regulatory
Number of failed rule votes in 2026 will exceed 10
Market overview
The House will experience at least 11 failed rule votes in 2026. The persistent bloc of rebellious Republicans, combined with Johnson’s slim majority and ongoing disputes over unrelated amendments, will lead to continued procedural failures throughout the remainder of the year.
regulatory prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 75%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
The total number of failed House rule votes in 2026 reaches or exceeds 11 (counting all failures through 2026-12-31).
Source: user-generated
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