Will the Ross Fire exceed 100,000 acres in size before being fully contained?
Resolves: YES if official reports state the Ross Fire reaches or surpasses 100,000 acres at any point before 100% containment. NO otherwise.
user-generated· World
Will the Ross Fire exceed 100,000 acres in size before being fully co…
Market overview
The fire has already grown to over 50,000 acres, showing extreme growth potential. While containment efforts are underway, continued dry conditions and winds could lead to further significant expansion.
World prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 55%
- Closes
- 2026-11-23
About this prediction
How this resolves
YES if official reports state the Ross Fire reaches or surpasses 100,000 acres at any point before 100% containment. NO otherwise.
Source: user-generated
More World markets
- Will Australian Open dominate headlines in the next 12-18 months? — 30% Yes
- Will a documentary or major film about the conviction of Duane 'Keffe D' Davis be released by the end of 2026? — 70% Yes
- Will any major national news outlet (e.g., CNN, Fox News, NYT, Washington Post) publish a follow-up article on the California couple's legal proceedings by September 29, 2027? — 70% Yes
- Will the name 'Lake America' be officially adopted for Lake Ontario by any governing body by January 20, 2029? — 2% Yes
- Will the 'Bullet-Riddled Car' exhibit featuring Hind Rajab's car remain on public display in Berlin for at least 30 consecutive days? — 70% Yes
- Will Converse announce a new partnership with a prominent social justice or anti-racism organization by December 31, 2027? — 60% Yes
- Will a unified, internationally recognized government be formed in Libya by June 30, 2026? — 30% Yes
- Will the Aoba Castle site see an increase of at least 10% in annual tourist visitors in 2026 compared to 2023 levels? — 45% Yes
No one's made a Conviction call on this yet. Be the first to call it →
Loading…