UNHCR emergency funding request exceeds $5B by Dec 2026

Market overview

With conflict-driven displacements rising 60% in 2025, humanitarian agencies will likely face severe funding gaps. The UNHCR’s 2026 emergency appeal is predicted to surpass $5B due to sustained displacement crises in Sudan, Gaza, and Ukraine.

macro prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

78%

Source: user-generated

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