Will a high-level, direct meeting between US and Iranian foreign ministers occur by December 31, 2028?
Resolves: YES if a direct, publicly acknowledged meeting between the US Secretary of State and the Iranian Foreign Minister takes place. NO otherwise.
user-generated· World
Will a high-level, direct meeting between US and Iranian foreign mini…
Market overview
Vance's comment implies a level of engagement that might lead to direct, public, high-level diplomatic contact. This question focuses on a verifiable diplomatic event. The probability is set higher than a full deal, as meetings can occur even without immediate breakthroughs.
World prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 45%
- Closes
- 2030-08-27
About this prediction
How this resolves
YES if a direct, publicly acknowledged meeting between the US Secretary of State and the Iranian Foreign Minister takes place. NO otherwise.
Source: user-generated
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