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UK house prices decline 5% by end of 2027

Resolves: UK House Price Index shows a 5% or greater decline from its 2026 level by December 31, 2027.

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UK house prices decline 5% by end of 2027

Market overview

The cumulative impact of higher mortgage rates and reduced affordability will push UK house prices down by 5% by December 2027, reversing recent gains. This decline will be most pronounced in regions with higher mortgage dependency.

price prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
65%
Closes
2027-12-31

About this prediction

Resolution criteria

UK House Price Index shows a 5% or greater decline from its 2026 level by December 31, 2027.

Source: user-generated

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