OpenAI settles Apple lawsuit for over $500M by end of 2026
Resolves: OpenAI and Apple announce a settlement agreement with total payments to Apple exceeding $500M, or a court ruling in Apple's favor with damages exceeding $500M.
user-generated· legal
OpenAI settles Apple lawsuit for over $500M by end of 2026
Market overview
Apple's lawsuit alleges widespread trade secret theft by OpenAI, including access to confidential files and internal codenames. Given the scale of allegations and media scrutiny, a substantial settlement is likely to avoid prolonged litigation and reputational damage.
legal prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 70%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
OpenAI and Apple announce a settlement agreement with total payments to Apple exceeding $500M, or a court ruling in Apple's favor with damages exceeding $500M.
Source: user-generated
More legal markets
- Ann Widdecombe's murder trial concludes within 6 months — 65% Yes
- OpenAI's hardware launch delayed beyond 2026 due to Apple lawsuit — 78% Yes
- South Carolina court blocks McMaster's redistricting session — 72% Yes
- Russia faces formal ICC arrest warrants for torture prison officials by 2027 — 70% Yes
- Lime misses debt repayment deadline, restructures — 55% Yes
- Radio host resigns within 30 days over 'cotton picking' remarks — 75% Yes
- SAVE America Act reintroduced in Senate by Q4 2026 — 68% Yes
- Anthropic to release peer-reviewed J-Space research by 2026-12-31 — 70% Yes
No one's made a Conviction call on this yet. Be the first to call it →
Loading…