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Russia faces formal ICC arrest warrants for torture prison officials by 2027

Resolves: The ICC issues at least one new arrest warrant against a named Russian official or collaborator identified in the BBC investigation for crimes related to torture prisons in Ukraine.

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user-generated· legal

Russia faces formal ICC arrest warrants for torture prison officials…

Market overview

The BBC's identification of named torturers increases pressure on international courts to act. The International Criminal Court (ICC) has already issued warrants related to Ukraine, and new evidence of systemic torture in detention centers raises the likelihood of additional indictments.

legal prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
70%
Closes
2027-03-31

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Resolution criteria

The ICC issues at least one new arrest warrant against a named Russian official or collaborator identified in the BBC investigation for crimes related to torture prisons in Ukraine.

Source: user-generated

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