NATO members agree to 3.5% defense spending increase by December 2026

NATO's current 2% spending target is under scrutiny as Trump pressures members to commit to higher thresholds. A 3.5% target would mark a significant step toward addressing U.S. concerns about free-riding by European allies.

geopolitics · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)

60%

Closes

2026-12-31

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