Will there be a verifiable report from a major international news organization (e.g., Reuters, AP, BBC, NYT) of a successful coup attempt against Mali's transitional government by December 31, 2028?
Resolves: A major international news organization (e.g., Reuters, AP, BBC, New York Times, AFP) publishes a report confirming a successful coup d'état against the Malian transitional government, resulting in a change of leadership.
Will there be a verifiable report from a major international news org…
Market overview
Despite the 'Africa Corps' presence, Mali has a history of instability and coup attempts. While the 'Africa Corps' aims to stabilize the government, internal factions or external pressures could still lead to another coup attempt, though the presence of Russian forces makes success less likely.
World prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 40%
- Closes
- 2030-07-30
About this prediction
How this resolves
A major international news organization (e.g., Reuters, AP, BBC, New York Times, AFP) publishes a report confirming a successful coup d'état against the Malian transitional government, resulting in a change of leadership.
Source: user-generated
More World markets
- Will Australian Open dominate headlines in the next 12-18 months? — 30% Yes
- Will a documentary or major film about the conviction of Duane 'Keffe D' Davis be released by the end of 2026? — 70% Yes
- Will any major national news outlet (e.g., CNN, Fox News, NYT, Washington Post) publish a follow-up article on the California couple's legal proceedings by September 29, 2027? — 70% Yes
- Will the name 'Lake America' be officially adopted for Lake Ontario by any governing body by January 20, 2029? — 2% Yes
- Will the 'Bullet-Riddled Car' exhibit featuring Hind Rajab's car remain on public display in Berlin for at least 30 consecutive days? — 70% Yes
- Will Converse announce a new partnership with a prominent social justice or anti-racism organization by December 31, 2027? — 60% Yes
- Will a unified, internationally recognized government be formed in Libya by June 30, 2026? — 30% Yes
- Will the Aoba Castle site see an increase of at least 10% in annual tourist visitors in 2026 compared to 2023 levels? — 45% Yes