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Will the European Union announce new collective energy rationing measures for the winter of 2027-2027 by November 30, 2027?

Resolves: YES if the European Commission officially announces new, binding, collective energy rationing measures (beyond existing voluntary targets) for member states for the 2023-2024 winter heating season by November 30, 2023. NO otherwise.

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Will the European Union announce new collective energy rationing meas…

Market overview

Vitol's statement highlights Europe's vulnerability to supply issues. Significant rationing measures would indicate a severe response to an anticipated crunch.

World prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
25%
Closes
2029-08-31

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How this resolves

YES if the European Commission officially announces new, binding, collective energy rationing measures (beyond existing voluntary targets) for member states for the 2023-2024 winter heating season by November 30, 2023. NO otherwise.

Source: user-generated

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