Desert rain frog population declines by 30% by 2028
Resolves: Peer-reviewed scientific studies or IUCN Red List updates confirm a 30% or greater decline in the desert rain frog (Breviceps macrops) population compared to 2026 baseline estimates.
user-generated· price
Desert rain frog population declines by 30% by 2028
Market overview
The desert rain frog's habitat is threatened by diamond mining in southern Africa. Ecological assessments and conservation reports indicate a 30% population decline is likely by 2028 due to ongoing mining expansion.
price prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 65%
- Closes
- 2028-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Peer-reviewed scientific studies or IUCN Red List updates confirm a 30% or greater decline in the desert rain frog (Breviceps macrops) population compared to 2026 baseline estimates.
Source: user-generated
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