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French agricultural stocks rise 15% by 2026-12-31 due to fertilizer subsidy

Resolves: The MSCI France Agriculture Index closes 2026-12-31 at least 15% higher than its 2026-07-09 level.

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French agricultural stocks rise 15% by 2026-12-31 due to fertilizer s…

Market overview

France’s €2 billion fertilizer subsidy will directly benefit domestic agricultural producers, lifting their stock valuations as input costs decline. The measure is expected to drive a sustained rally in French agribusiness equities over the next six months.

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Implied probability (Yes)
72%
Closes
2026-12-31

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Resolution criteria

The MSCI France Agriculture Index closes 2026-12-31 at least 15% higher than its 2026-07-09 level.

Source: user-generated

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