Will the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) report that Iran has enriched uranium to 90% purity by December 31, 2027?
Resolves: YES if the IAEA publicly reports, in any official document or statement, that Iran has enriched uranium to 90% purity (weapons-grade) by December 31, 2024. NO otherwise.
Will the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) report that Iran h…
Market overview
The 'Iran war' context often refers to the nuclear program. A significant escalation in enrichment could be seen as a direct consequence or driver of increased regional tensions and missile defense concerns. This question directly addresses a key aspect of the 'Iran threat'.
World prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 30%
- Closes
- 2029-08-26
About this prediction
How this resolves
YES if the IAEA publicly reports, in any official document or statement, that Iran has enriched uranium to 90% purity (weapons-grade) by December 31, 2024. NO otherwise.
Source: user-generated
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