Iran-backed proxy attacks U.S. or allied targets in next 3 months

Iran has repeatedly threatened retaliation against Trump. Iranian-backed proxies like Hezbollah or the Houthis are likely to conduct attacks on U.S. or allied interests within three months to retaliate for sanctions or threats.

geopolitics · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)

65%

Closes

2026-10-11

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