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Lockheed Martin’s F/A-XX sixth-gen fighter secures $15B contract by Dec 2026

Resolves: A formal Department of Defense contract award to Lockheed Martin for F/A-XX development totaling at least $15B is announced by 2026-12-31.

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Lockheed Martin’s F/A-XX sixth-gen fighter secures $15B contract by D…

Market overview

The Pentagon will finalize a full-scale development contract for Lockheed Martin’s F/A-XX next-gen fighter following the flyover’s demonstration of its capabilities. The deal, expected in Q4 2026, will validate the program’s acceleration amid rising global defense tensions.

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Implied probability (Yes)
72%
Closes
2026-12-31

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Resolution criteria

A formal Department of Defense contract award to Lockheed Martin for F/A-XX development totaling at least $15B is announced by 2026-12-31.

Source: user-generated

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