U.S. shale oil production exceeds 13 million barrels per day by December 2026
Resolves: U.S. shale oil production exceeds 13 million barrels per day by December 2026
user-generated· macro
U.S. shale oil production exceeds 13 million barrels per day by Decem…
Market overview
Continued investment in shale drilling and advancements in extraction technology will boost output. High oil prices incentivize further production despite environmental and regulatory challenges.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 68%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
U.S. shale oil production exceeds 13 million barrels per day by December 2026
Source: user-generated
More macro markets
- International Aid to Congo's Health Sector Increases by 2027 — 65% Yes
- S&P 500 rises 4% by mid-October 2026 on crime decline optimism — 72% Yes
- NZ dollar strengthens 3% against USD on India-NZ security deal by 2027 — 65% Yes
- UK 10-year Gilt yield exceeds 5% by Nov 2026 — 65% Yes
- US private sector job growth to remain below 100k monthly — 65% Yes
- UK Q2 GDP growth falls below 0.2% due to Iran war effects — 70% Yes
- 2026 global average temperature exceeds 2024 record — 70% Yes
- Measles cases to rise 20% by Q2 2027 — 70% Yes
No one's made a Conviction call on this yet. Be the first to call it →
Loading…